Financial Cynicism or Financial Skepticism?

Looking to the Future

First Published Date: Aug 17, 2009

Reading the financial pages of the newspapers – both national and international press – has become something of an endurance sport in the past 18 months. Although there have been serious issues in need of being addressed, there must also be some acknowledgement that at a certain point, bad financial news reaches a level of saturation that makes everyone reading want to bury their head in the sand and shout “no more!”. This presents financial editors with a tricky conundrum. You have to report what’s going on, but when all you seem to be reporting is one hammer blow after another, does a point arrive where the coverage begins to dictate behaviour?

There is now a great deal of cynicism when any politician says that they can see the green shoots of financial recovery. Of course, there tends to be some cynicism when any politician says anything these days. It has become de rigueur to simply disbelieve a politician by dint of their occupation. It would be tempting to assert, although one must accept that statistics do not exist to back this up, that were a prominent politician to stand up and declare that it was sunny outside, 25% of any audience would look out the window for definitive proof before trusting that it actually was. This is how politicians are viewed by the general public in almost every country. It may not be ideal, but that’s how things are.

So it becomes doubly hard for governments to persuade their electorate that financial recovery is on its way, or already here. When a populace will refuse to believe the word of a politician on principle, overcoming cynicism becomes a Herculean task. Is this how it should be? A little bit of skepticism is surely welcome, but at what stage does skepticism become deliberate contrariness? At what point do we say “the media are saying one thing, the government another – I can only trust my own judgement.”? It seems that in this case, there is no time like the present. To clarify that, we appear to be on the cusp of a recovery which may, initially, be accompanied by limited growth or none at all. Waiting for recovery with growth to take off could mean missing the best opportunities. Get on the right bus now, however, and there could be excellent payoffs when your stop comes along.

As much as we like to make our own judgements based on a commendable grasp of the information in front of us, it should be accepted that we live in a world without certainties. No-one ever got rich backing sure things, but the markets are beginning to rise. Investing at this point may be the wisest step, because once the recovery has clicked into top gear it could be too late. It may not work out the way you hoped it would, but the same is true of any investment at any time – unless you are illegally well-connected. Be cautious and suspicious by all means, but don’t let opportunity pass you by.

To streamline and minimize blog maintenance, I will be discontinuing maintaining the Canadapersonalfinancewebsite.com website (however, I will still hold the domain). I will gradually move all articles from this site to A Dawn Journal. This article originally published on the above website on Aug 17, 2009.

Brand Names Not Worth The Money?

Is Brand Name Losing Its Cool?

First Published Date: Aug 25, 2009

That brand names cost more than own-brand or budget ranges is not news to anyone. That this discrepancy can sometimes be quite marked is no more of a shock to anyone who is paying attention. And yet there still seems to be a thirst for the big names among shoppers. However it seems that in the new world which has been born out of the global financial crisis, the numbers of people voting with their wallets and choosing the cheaper option are increasing. Are we finally coming to terms with the idea that all those brand names amount to very little in terms of tangible quality? Or are people simply deciding to tighten their belts temporarily?

Go to any supermarket today and you will see that people are spending longer in the aisles looking for the extra few cents’ saving than ever before. These same people two years ago may well have instantly picked up the recognisable brand name and dropped it in their trolley without so much as looking. What is going on? Obviously we are in a recession, but this time it feels very different. Almost without noticing, we have suddenly become thrifty. It seems strange to say it, but it has almost become cool to be careful.

It must be said that there are some cases where compromising on quality for the sake of price is less well-advised than in others. We can all think of a few ourselves, but suffice it to say that thrifty shopping can become a false economy when we buy the cheapest line possible and end up throwing it out because it was inedible or made us need to go to the bathroom non-stop for a day. Such a strategy is almost doomed to fail and can sour a person on the whole concept of economising. However, there are cases where dropping from top-of-the-range to mid-range constitutes very little difference.

It is no myth that in blind taste tests we will often see a mid-price item out-performing its more illustrious rivals. Perhaps more often the big name will win out, but this is to be expected. After all, reputations are built over time. The better ingredients cost more, and in cases where the mid price item is more or less copied from the bigger name, they can never get it absolutely right. As a result, the consumer will often pay for the name.

If, however, you are making a concerted effort to leave aside the added expense of buying brand names all the time, it cannot have escaped your attention that sometimes the supposed “lesser brands” can be a bargain. Sometimes too, there is so little difference between the big brand and the little one in terms of taste that it is only social conditioning making us buy the big names. It may not be for everyone, but next time you are at the supermarket throwing in the brands you have always bought, why not go downmarket? You might find that sometimes the bargain buys are very much to your taste.

To streamline and minimize blog maintenance, I will be discontinuing maintaining the Canadapersonalfinancewebsite.com website (however, I will still hold the domain). I will gradually move all articles from this site to A Dawn Journal. This article originally published on the above website on Aug 25, 2009.

Car Loans Getting Easier

Loan Approvals Have Risen To Their Highest

First Published Date: June 28, 2009

Canadians looking to purchase a new car in the second half of 2009 should find it easier than they did a few months ago, according to a new report which gives broadly positive news on the likely availability of car loans for new customers. The report, released this Thursday, 25 June 2009 says that loan approvals have risen to their highest level in more than a year, and since the recession was declared. At the time of the recession’s onset, getting credit for any purpose became a great deal more difficult, with affordable loans comparable to the Golden Fleece for anyone not in possession of a world-beating credit score. With financiers more willing to lend now than they were a year ago, the motorist is getting a green light to secure funding for the vehicle they want.

The main reason for this ease would seem to be the federal government’s move to secure the finance of $12billion worth of car loans which will allow the financing companies to lend to deserving customers who have a decent credit rating. In any recession there will be a reluctance to lend to anyone but the absolute “can’t miss” customers, who often have little need for a loan in order to buy a car and borrow more for convenience than out of necessity. This latest move will open up the chance to buy a new car to a wider range of individuals and allow a greater fluidity of cash through the industry, which will in turn help stimulate an economy in need of some good news as it battles its way through the recession.

The withdrawal of some major lenders from the auto-loan business over the past year is also believed to have played a major part in the absence of credit – with the Bank of Canada being a notable exception. The car companies themselves, though, had in no small part either removed their lending branches or increased the credit score necessary for them to forward credit to new customers. Although there is good reason for being circumspect in giving out new car loans, it did have the effect of creating a vicious cycle which saw fewer customers able to buy cars, and consequently fewer cars being bought.

The overall impression emerging from the latest news is that the credit-worthiness and the intent to buy new is experiencing a rise in Canada and that there will be increased growth in the Canadian auto market as the year progresses. Household credit ratings are improving as the lessons of the recession are learned, and in combination with an increase in the amount of retail and durable goods purchases over recent months, the least that can be said is that the worst of the recession is over. How quickly this translates into growth of a reasonable amount remains to be seen, but it is a relief for any financial commentator to be able to say that better days are very nearly here. How much better depends on how ready people are to believe it.

To streamline and minimize blog maintenance, I will be discontinuing maintaining the Canadapersonalfinancewebsite.com website (however, I will still hold the domain). I will gradually move all articles from this site to A Dawn Journal. This article originally published on the above website on June 28, 2009.

How To Save Money By Downsizing

Downsizing -Not Always Bad

First Published Date: July 05, 2009

Recession or no recession, it suits any of us to find a way of saving a few dollars here and there. It’s not a bad thing, and none of us should be at all concerned about how it will be viewed. The truth of the matter is that anywhere a saving can be made, there is potential to re-direct funds that may be needed elsewhere or highly beneficial. Looking into your regular expenditure and thinking about what changes you can make, you can come to the conclusion that there is a lot of gain to be made from making a cut – although in some cases it may make for an emotionally challenging decision. However, if you steel yourself for the process and give it your honest appraisal, you may find that it was the best decision you ever made.

One decision that will never be totally comfortable is the sale o f the family home. After all, so many things happened there that made it the center of a life you would not swap for anything. Nonetheless, if the time has come that the kids have moved out – not just to college but to a place of their own, possibly even a marital home – then you are left with a house where at least one room is going empty.

Sure, your kids will visit pretty regularly and may well stay over when they do, and you may well run into a moral quandary when the issue of selling the house they grew up in happens to arise. However, you can take sentiment too far. If selling the house and relocating to a smaller property will make your retirement and the years preceding it any more comfortable, then your kids ought to understand. Moving from a big house to a smaller one can result in a very large lump sum to deposit in the bank.

Downsizing is not solely about making a change from one thing to another, physically smaller thing, of course. Neither is it something that needs to happen when your children have left home and any big home-life change is going to be a lot rawer. Often, the main point of downsizing is to cut on wastage. Most of us have been guilty of spending money that did not need to be spent.

It is worth looking at purchases which hold their value well – for example, a car is not a good choice for downsizing from the “profit” point of view. However much you paid for that when it was new, it is probably worth a fraction now. Even if you have spent hours lovingly maintaining it, it started losing value the moment you drove it off the forecourt. Conversely, items like laptop computers hold their value exceptionally well. If you find that you are using the laptop less frequently, then you can make a few hundred bucks and save on the electricity that a charge-demanding laptop swallows up every day. If you can make do with a desktop computer, it offers more memory and efficiency – and could help you make a saving, too.

To streamline and minimize blog maintenance, I will be discontinuing maintaining the Canadapersonalfinancewebsite.com website (however, I will still hold the domain). I will gradually move all articles from this site to A Dawn Journal. This article originally published on the above website on July 5, 2009.

How To Save Money By Downsizing

Downsizing -Not Always Bad

First Published Date: July 05, 2009

Recession or no recession, it suits any of us to find a way of saving a few dollars here and there. It’s not a bad thing, and none of us should be at all concerned about how it will be viewed. The truth of the matter is that anywhere a saving can be made, there is potential to re-direct funds that may be needed elsewhere or highly beneficial. Looking into your regular expenditure and thinking about what changes you can make, you can come to the conclusion that there is a lot of gain to be made from making a cut – although in some cases it may make for an emotionally challenging decision. However, if you steel yourself for the process and give it your honest appraisal, you may find that it was the best decision you ever made.

One decision that will never be totally comfortable is the sale o f the family home. After all, so many things happened there that made it the center of a life you would not swap for anything. Nonetheless, if the time has come that the kids have moved out – not just to college but to a place of their own, possibly even a marital home – then you are left with a house where at least one room is going empty.

Sure, your kids will visit pretty regularly and may well stay over when they do, and you may well run into a moral quandary when the issue of selling the house they grew up in happens to arise. However, you can take sentiment too far. If selling the house and relocating to a smaller property will make your retirement and the years preceding it any more comfortable, then your kids ought to understand. Moving from a big house to a smaller one can result in a very large lump sum to deposit in the bank.

Downsizing is not solely about making a change from one thing to another, physically smaller thing, of course. Neither is it something that needs to happen when your children have left home and any big home-life change is going to be a lot rawer. Often, the main point of downsizing is to cut on wastage. Most of us have been guilty of spending money that did not need to be spent.

It is worth looking at purchases which hold their value well – for example, a car is not a good choice for downsizing from the “profit” point of view. However much you paid for that when it was new, it is probably worth a fraction now. Even if you have spent hours lovingly maintaining it, it started losing value the moment you drove it off the forecourt. Conversely, items like laptop computers hold their value exceptionally well. If you find that you are using the laptop less frequently, then you can make a few hundred bucks and save on the electricity that a charge-demanding laptop swallows up every day. If you can make do with a desktop computer, it offers more memory and efficiency – and could help you make a saving, too.

To streamline and minimize blog maintenance, I will be discontinuing maintaining the Canadapersonalfinancewebsite.com website (however, I will still hold the domain). I will gradually move all articles from this site to A Dawn Journal. This article originally published on the above website on July 5, 2009.